By the Numbers: Ward 4 Turnout in 2018 General Election

Note #1: This is part one of a of a three-part series I’m publishing looking at the numbers in Ward 4. This post looks at turnout. The next two will look how citywide and ANC candidates performed in the Ward.

Note #2: The Board of Elections won’t certify results for a week or so, once all absentee and provisional ballots are counted, so numbers might change.

We did alright last night, Ward 4. Just under 48% of registered voters here (29,821 out of 62,735 registered) cast a ballot in the 2018 general election, putting Ward 4 in third place for turnout behind Ward 3 (50%) and Ward 6 (just over 48%).

In the 2016 general election, Ward 4 had 61,551 registered voters. So in the last two years, we’ve seen an uptick of nearly 1200 people able to vote in our neighborhoods. Of course, with no presidential or mayoral race to grab attention, turnout declined significantly. In 2016, 67% of registered voters, or 41,170 people, in Ward 4 cast their ballots.

But 2018 still brought more Ward 4 people to the polls than the 2015 special election for our Council seat or the 2014 midterm elections. In the 2015 special to elect Councilmember Brandon Todd, only 18% of voters turned out, or just 10,755 people. In the 2014 midterms, 44% of voters turned out, or 26,540 people.

The precinct that led with highest turnout by raw number of voters was Precinct 63 in the Takoma neighborhood, where at least 4,777 people voted. That’s about 50% of registered voters there.

The precinct that led with the highest turnout by proportion of registered voters was Precinct 62, which is primarily the Shepherd Park, Colonial Village, and North Portal Estates neighborhoods, with a little bit of Brightwood some might argue. A whopping 58% of registered voters, or a total of 3,764 people, cast ballots in Precinct 62.

As usual, Precinct 49 had the lowest turnout by raw number of voters with only 1,230 casting ballots. That is still a 45% turnout. The precinct, located at the bottom of the Ward where Petworth bleeds into Park View,  is the smallest precinct in Ward 4 by both area and population

The precinct with the lowest turnout by proportion was Precinct 60, where only about 36% of registered voters cast ballots, or a total of 2,938 people.

If you aren’t familiar with precinct territories, you can use this PDF map from the DC Board of Elections to find the ones you’re interested in. You can view the numbers for yourself on the BOE’s website. Here’s the whole rundown, in order of precinct number:

Precinct 45: 2907 / 52%
Precinct 46: 3590 / 47%
Precinct 47: 4518 / 47%
Precinct 48: 3615 / 49%
Precinct 49: 1230 /  45%
Precinct 51: 4612 / 50%
Precinct 52: 1671 / 48%
Precinct 53: 1619 / 47%
Precinct 54: 3018 / 47%
Precinct 55: 3084 / 44%
Precinct 56: 4037 / 44%
Precinct 57: 3156 / 45%
Precinct 58: 2801 / 45%
Precinct 59: 3178 / 46%
Precinct 60: 2938 / 36%
Precinct 61: 2019 / 46%
Precinct 62: 3764 / 58%
Precinct 63: 4777 / 50%
Precinct 64: 2880 / 50%
Precinct 65: 3321 / 48%

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